Kronos Engine is built on top of an open-source financial foundation model — a transformer pre-trained on candlestick data from 45 global exchanges. The project fine-tunes this base model on crypto-specific historical data and uses it to produce probabilistic price forecasts: distributions of where price could go, not single-point predictions. The point isn't to generate trading signals; it's to investigate whether foundation-model forecasting can structurally improve the rigor of personal capital allocation.
- Fine-tuning pipeline running on cloud GPU infrastructure, training a 102M-parameter base model on multi-year crypto historical data
- Probabilistic forecasting engine generating 30 sample paths per inference at 1-hour candle close, 24-hour forward horizon
- Side-by-side evaluation harness comparing fine-tuned vs base model on hit rate, MAE, and Sharpe across out-of-sample windows
- Risk-gate framework with funding-rate awareness, position sizing limits, and explicit confidence cutoffs ahead of any execution path
- Companion bias-monitoring system on independent cadence to surface discretionary blind spots and validate framework assumptions
- Full integration architecture: Hyperliquid SDK for execution, Binance public data API for training data